If you’ve been feeling the sudden chill sweeping across New York City, you’re not imagining it — and meteorologists say it’s only the beginning. According to early predictions, this winter is shaping up to be the snowiest the city has seen in five years.

The season’s first real cold snap hit abruptly, with temperatures tumbling into the 30s for the first time since spring. A freeze warning quickly followed, and by November 11th, New Yorkers woke up to the first flutter of snowflakes drifting through the boroughs. Consider it a preview of what may be coming.

More Snow Than Recent Years — Here’s What Forecasts Say

AccuWeather’s early outlook estimates roughly 17–21 inches of snowfall this winter. But meteorologist Allan Nosoff is predicting a significantly snowier season, suggesting totals could reach 25–35 inches — noticeably higher than what NYC has seen in the last several years.

To put things into perspective: this is nowhere near the legendary 1995–1996 winter, when the city was buried under an unbelievable 75 inches of snow. But compared to the relatively mild winters of the past few years, the 2025–2026 season may feel like a dramatic return to cold, snowy days.

Nosoff also anticipates that December and January will run colder than average, increasing the likelihood of early-season storms. February, by contrast, is expected to trend warmer, hinting at a shorter snow window — and possibly an early taste of spring.

Photo: unsplash.com/@chanan

What Could Influence NYC’s Winter?

Long-range forecasts from sources like the Old Farmer’s Almanac have hinted at a “snow, chill, repeat” pattern, while La Niña conditions could complicate winter travel. But as always, the atmosphere has a mind of its own, and New Yorkers know better than to assume anything when it comes to winter weather.

Whether we’re in for frequent flurries or a few intense storms, one thing is sure: the season is settling in.

So dust off that black puffer, make sure your heat is working as it should, and brace yourself — winter in NYC is just getting started.